What’s Next for GlobalFoundries?

In lieu of pursuing a 7nm platform, GlobalFoundries will be embarking on a multifaceted strategy for revenue and profitability. This strategy includes scaling out the 14LPP/12LP platform for various applications that are set to emerge in the 5G era, continuing to evolve the FD-SOI platform, spinning off its ASIC development business, further supporting its existing clients with their 14LPP/12LP products, and some other things.

Scaling Out the 14LPP/12LP

Originally designed for mobile SoCs and some other chips in mind, GlobalFoundries' 14LPP manufacturing technology is used to make CPUs and GPUs at GlobalFoundries. Furthermore, the company has designed two variations of this fabrication process. Whereas the base process used up to 13 metal layers and 9T libraries, 14HP was developed specifically for IBM and tailored for performance at the cost of transistor density, using up to 17 metal layers and 12T libraries. Meanwhile, 12LP — aimed at a broad spectrum of applications, including APUs/CPUs, automotive and other — uses 13 layers and 7.5T libraries, giving a 10% additional performance or power improvement as well as a 15% area reduction vs. the 14LPP.

Going forward, GlobalFoundries plans to offer a broader spectrum of technologies based on its 14 nm node. The move is not truly surprising. Samsung Foundry also offers three versions of its 14 nm processes: 14LPP for high-performance SoCs, 14LPC for compact SoCs, and 14LPU for ultra-low-power chips. So far, GlobalFoundries has confirmed three key markets of its future FinFET process technologies: RF, embedded memory, and low-power. In addition, the company plans to offer its 14LPP/12LP platform with enhanced performance and/or higher transistor density (for cost reduction). To do so, the company will be leveraging the knowledge and techniques they developed as part of the 7LP platform. But naturally Gary Patton does not want to disclose the nature of these innovations or any actual performance targets.

If the company succeeds in the integration of RF capabilities into FinFET-based chips, that will be a world’s first. In theory, such chips would have a notable edge over existing RF solutions, which are made using rather rough process technologies. In addition to regular RF capabilities, GlobalFoundries plans to offer features for mmWave radios. Embedded MRAM will also be another important feature of SoCs made using a FinFET fabrication tech as, again, nobody uses such transistors for embedded memory right now.

At the moment, GlobalFoundries is still forming its new development teams, so we do not know exactly how many projects the company will eventually work on. Meanwhile, keep in mind that any project started today will materialize at best in 2020, with actual products going into HVM in 2021. This will be in time for various devices for high-growth markets, but AMD will naturally wind down its 14LPP/12LP orders to GlobalFoundries over the 2019 – 2020 timeframe, reducing the company’s revenue and profits. Note that at present both the RF and embedded memory technologies for FinFET are in a pathfinding stage, so it is very hard to say when exactly GlobalFoundries comes up with appropriate process technologies.

Investing in FD-SOI

In addition to developing specialized versions of its FinFET-based process technologies, GlobalFoundries will continue to invest in its FDX-branded FD SOI-based platforms, such as 22FDX and 12FDX. Gary Patton did not pre-announce any new versions of the company’s FD-SOI fabrication processes, but clearly indicated that the FDX will remain very important for GlobalFoundries, which is not surprising as GF and Samsung Foundry are the only foundries to offer this tech.

Spinning Off ASICs

Designing chips for a new process technology is always a challenge both from engineering and financial points of view, especially for smaller companies. In a bid to help its customers to develop various SoCs, GlobalFoundries established its ASIC Solutions (ASICs) division, which helps the company’s customers in designing chips. Besides usual things like process development kits (PDKs), various design libraries, silicon-proven memory solutions, interfaces, and other necessary things, ASICs offers support from chip design, methodology, test and packaging teams.

Obviously, GlobalFoundries’ customers going forward will benefit from ASICs IP and teams. However, to ensure that the division continues to attract high-volume work, GlobalFoundries will spin it off and enable it to work with process technologies from other contract makers of semiconductors.

The Fate of EUV Tools

One of the questions we asked GlobalFoundries during a briefing concerning its strategic shift was about the fate of two ASML Twinscan NXE machines installed in Fab 8. At this point the company has not made any decisions, but it intends to consult with ASML and find out what would be the best use of these tools. In theory, GlobalFoundries could keep them to speed up prototyping or even production, but since they require a special treatment, keeping them without using them extensively for HVM may not be a good idea.

Some Thoughts

Until today, GlobalFoundries, Samsung Foundry, and TSMC were the only three remaining contract makers of semiconductors to offer leading-edge process technologies for logic. With GF dropping out from the race, Samsung and TSMC will be the only contract foundries remaining. (While Intel technically has foundry operations, they've had minimal impact on the industry).

For GlobalFoundries, the move has pros and cons. On the one hand the lion’s share of semiconductor industry revenue will be earned from chips made using ’12 nm’ and larger nodes even in 2022, according to Gartner’s findings and cited by GlobalFoundries. Evidently, by not competing for the leading edge, GF will reduce its R&D costs and necessity to build ultra-expensive EUV fabs for 2020 and onwards. Moreover, with specialized technologies sometimes tailored for particular clients, the company will better avoid directly competing against Samsung and TSMC in certain cases. Nonetheless, said foundries are going to compete for emerging devices as well, so they are going to design their own specialized fabrication processes (Samsung in particular will need them for itself). Therefore, GlobalFoundries is not exactly jumping into a blue ocean here.

What remains to be seen is how well GlobalFoundries manages to execute on the timely development of multiple new manufacturing processes and land new customers to fill Fab 8. The company will keep working with AMD for many years to come in fabbing current-generation CPUs and GPUs, and then switching exclusively to wafers with embedded APUs/GPUs as well as with first-gen EPYC dies, as these products have very long lifecycles. However, the number of wafers GlobalFoundries processes for AMD will be dropping rapidly starting from 2019. Whether GF will be able to substitute AMD’s orders with orders from enough smaller players to Fab 8 full utilized is something only time will tell.

While it is sad to see GlobalFoundries leaving the ‘bleeding edge’ field, it is evident that the company’s odds against Samsung and TSMC were not high enough for the owner and the management to take the risks. Therefore, it looks like ‘scaling out’ by offering a set of specialized (and maybe even unique) process technologies instead of ‘scaling up’ and offer another ‘bleeding edge’ node might just be a better bet for GlobalFoundries.

Related Reading:

7LP Canned Due to Strategy Shift GlobalFoundries Press Release
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  • haukionkannel - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    Zen2 is in no trouble. Vegas most likely and APUs were planned to use Global foundaries, so those may be delayed one or two years. Or They will stay in 14nm for some years. No big deal.
  • GreenReaper - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    It kind of is? Heat and power use are bad in themselves and limit the frequency you can reach; die size also relates closely to cost. For APUs, you don't need more cores, but increasing the number of compute and rendering units could be the difference between reaching 4K or not.

    Sure, you can make that die on 14nm, but you will pay for it one way or another. Maybe thanks to size or power it doesn't fit into an AM4 socket at all, and you need to go to TR4.
  • OwCH - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    This is actually a really smart move.

    To all the people calling for a move away from Si - Tell that to Intel, Samsung and TSMC, as those three will be the ones leading development of new nodes. For the vast majority of tech products, we don't need those smaller/faster nodes. Think IoT and normal household tech. The bulk of tech. The need for computing power in a single chip isn't huge for that market. For that market we need a reliable, efficient, profitable and cheap node. 40nm, 22nm and 14nm can do just that. GF fabs them all. Smart move.
  • spronkey - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    Smart short term move, but increasing the chances they'll fade into oblivion as their tech can't compete in the longer term. 7nm will be extremely appealing to IoT in 5-10 years once it's reasonably cheap.

    Doesn't really sound like they had a choice though.
  • BurntMyBacon - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    Just because they are focusing on non-bleeding edge nodes doesn't mean they won't revisit 7nm when it is no longer bleeding edge. 7nm fabrication will likely be cheaper by the time 3nm is ramping up. At the very least, they could skip DUV with quadruple masking and go straight to EUV allowing them to make more wafer starts with the same amount of production space.
  • zodiacfml - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    Right. They don't have a choice. It is quite puzzling they are withdrawing quite late.
    I think there is a change with their competitors. It seems that TSMC must have been giving better prices for contracts. It also seems that TSMC can serve all customers as long they are willing to wait.
    In short, GF lost some potential customers making the latest node not worth it
  • MananDedhia - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    It is sad to read this news - i worked at Fab 8 for 3 years and know the struggles involved in developing bleeding edge processes first hand, especially at the brutal timelines that are demanded from the market. Hopefully people affected by this action manage to find work elsewhere.
  • Crazyguy9 - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    Good points by the commenters, but I think many miss the main point. Yes, we all know and have known how expensive new nodes are to develop. And we all have known how crazy it can be to chase Moore’s Law. BUT, so did Global. They must have had a business plan when they launched 7nm two years ago. They knew how much capital it would take, how much it would cost to make a wafer, and how much revenue they could make. They spent billions of dollars on development and tools like EUV over the last two years. According to their press releases they should be ready for production this year. So why do you cancel it now ??? Something doesn’t add up. Think of how much it must have cost to outfit the fab for EUV tools alone.
    Yes there is a lot of demand for older nodes like 28nm. But 28nm was the end of the line for planer devices and finfet arrival was delayed several years. In contrast, 14nm is first generation finfet and probably not a good place to park a fab.
    So there must be more to this story than just “we woke up and discovered how expensive these new nodes are”. Something is very amiss at Global to get this far down the road, then cancel.
  • V900 - Tuesday, August 28, 2018 - link

    It’s Global Foundries...

    Hardly the best managed company out there, and not exactly known for their sterling leadership and flawless execution.

    They also had huge problems transitioning to previous nodes.

    Having said that, it’s kinda like a gambler who already lost his paycheck, and is about to throw the deed to his house on the table.

    YES, GF already lost 5-7 billion dollars researching 7nm, investing in EUV tools etc.
    But continuing the move to 7nm would have cost them an additional 10-20 billion dollars.

    And that investment might never have paid for itself, since GF in 5 years might have been stuck with a 7 nm fab that’s too slow for the leading edge (Apple, Qualcomm etc.) but too expensive for everyone else compared with a cheap “good enough” 14nm or 22nm fab.
  • del42sa - Thursday, August 30, 2018 - link

    no it would cost them a lot of less :

    It would have cost GF $2-4 billion to ramp up the 40-50,000 wafers/month capacity needed to have a chance of making a return on the node. “

    https://www.eetimes.com/document.asp?doc_id=133363...

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